Auflistung nach Schlagwort "forecasting"
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Challenges in modeling and predicting floods and droughts: A review
(Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 2021-03-11)Predictions of floods, droughts, and fast drought‐flood transitions are required at different time scales to develop management strategies targeted at minimizing negative societal and economic impacts. Forecasts at daily ... -
Eruption Forecasting of Strokkur Geyser, Iceland, Using Permutation Entropy
(Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 2022-10-01)A volcanic eruption is usually preceded by seismic precursors, but their interpretation and use for forecasting the eruption onset time remain a challenge. A part of the eruptive processes in open conduits of volcanoes may ... -
Statistical Forecasts for the Occurrence of Precipitation Outperform Global Models over Northern Tropical Africa
(Geophysical Research Letters, 2021-02-02)Short‐term global ensemble predictions of rainfall currently have no skill over northern tropical Africa when compared to simple climatology‐based forecasts, even after sophisticated statistical postprocessing. Here, we ...