• Challenges in modeling and predicting floods and droughts: A review 

      Brunner, Manuela I.ORCIDiD; Slater, LouiseORCIDiD; Tallaksen, Lena M.ORCIDiD; Clark, MartynORCIDiD (Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 2021-03-11)
      Predictions of floods, droughts, and fast drought‐flood transitions are required at different time scales to develop management strategies targeted at minimizing negative societal and economic impacts. Forecasts at daily ...
    • Eruption Forecasting of Strokkur Geyser, Iceland, Using Permutation Entropy 

      Sudibyo, Maria R. P.ORCIDiD; Eibl, Eva P. S.ORCIDiD; Hainzl, SebastianORCIDiD; Hersir, Gylfi Páll (Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 2022-10-01)
      A volcanic eruption is usually preceded by seismic precursors, but their interpretation and use for forecasting the eruption onset time remain a challenge. A part of the eruptive processes in open conduits of volcanoes may ...
    • Statistical Forecasts for the Occurrence of Precipitation Outperform Global Models over Northern Tropical Africa 

      Vogel, Peter; Knippertz, PeterORCIDiD; Gneiting, TilmannORCIDiD; Fink, Andreas H.ORCIDiD; Klar, Manuel; Schlueter, AndreasORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2021-02-02)
      Short‐term global ensemble predictions of rainfall currently have no skill over northern tropical Africa when compared to simple climatology‐based forecasts, even after sophisticated statistical postprocessing. Here, we ...