Browsing by Subject "numerical weather prediction"
Now showing items 1-3 of 3
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An evaluation of operational and research weather forecasts for southern West Africa using observations from the DACCIWA field campaign in June–July 2016
; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; (Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2020)
Reliable and accurate weather forecasts, particularly those of rainfall and its extremes, have the potential to improve living conditions in densely populated southern West Africa (SWA). The limited availability of ... -
Cold-pool-driven convective initiation: using causal graph analysis to determine what convection-permitting models are missing
; ; ; ; (Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2020)
Cold-pool-driven convective initiation is investigated in high-resolution, convection-permitting simulations with a focus on the diurnal cycle and organization of convection and the sensitivity to grid size. Simulations ... -
Processes governing the amplification of ensemble spread in a medium-range forecast with large forecast uncertainty
(Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2019)This study provides a process-based perspective on the amplification of forecast uncertainty and forecast errors in ensemble forecasts. A case from the North Atlantic Waveguide and Downstream Impact Experiment that exhibits ...
