• Convection On the Edge 

      Windmiller, J. M.ORCIDiD; Hohenegger, C.ORCIDiD (Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2019)
      Deep convection over tropical oceans often appears intensified at the edge of convectively active regions, both in idealized studies and in observations. This edge intensification of convection is studied in detail here, ...
    • Effective buoyancy and CAPE: Some implications for tropical cyclones 

      Smith, R. K.ORCIDiD; Montgomery, M. T.ORCIDiD (Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2022-06-01)
      We review the widely used concepts of “buoyancy” and “convective available potential energy” (CAPE) in relation to deep convection in tropical cyclones and discuss their limitations. A fact easily forgotten in applying ...
    • Formation and maintenance of subsiding shells around non‐precipitating and precipitating cumulus clouds 

      Savre, JulienORCIDiD (Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2020-12-10)
      A shell of subsiding air is generally known to develop around cumulus clouds and shield them from their environment. We seek here to improve our understanding of such shells by (a) revealing the detailed vertical and ...
    • Observations and high-resolution simulations of convective precipitation organization over the tropical Atlantic 

      Brune, SebastianORCIDiD; Buschow, SebastianORCIDiD; Friederichs, PetraORCIDiD (Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2020)
      High-resolution simulations (grid spacing 2.5 km) are performed with ICON-LEM to characterize convective organization in the Tropics during August 2016 over a large domain ranging from northeastern South America, along the ...
    • Statistical Forecasts for the Occurrence of Precipitation Outperform Global Models over Northern Tropical Africa 

      Vogel, Peter; Knippertz, PeterORCIDiD; Gneiting, TilmannORCIDiD; Fink, Andreas H.ORCIDiD; Klar, Manuel; Schlueter, AndreasORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2021-02-02)
      Short‐term global ensemble predictions of rainfall currently have no skill over northern tropical Africa when compared to simple climatology‐based forecasts, even after sophisticated statistical postprocessing. Here, we ...