A storyline attribution of the 2011/2012 drought in Southeastern South America
Mindlin, Julia
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4185
Persistent URL: http://resolver.sub.uni-goettingen.de/purl?gldocs-11858/10062
van Garderen, Linda; Mindlin, Julia, 2022: A storyline attribution of the 2011/2012 drought in Southeastern South America . In: Weather , 77 , 6 , 212 -218, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4185.
Mindlin, Julia; 2
Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y NaturalesUniversidad de Buenos AiresBuenos Aires Argentina
Abstract
The 2011/2012 summer drought in Southeastern South America (SESA) was a short but devastating event. What would this event have looked like under pre‐industrial conditions, or in a +2 degC world? We find that climate change causes the region to be at a higher risk of drought. However, we found no large‐scale changes in the half‐month water budgets. We show that the climate change induced positive precipitation trend in the region outweighs the increased temperatures and potential evapotranspiration during the 2011/2012 drought.
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