TY - JOUR A1 - Thomas, Marius Levin A1 - Bašták Ďurán, Ivan A1 - Schmidli, Juerg T1 - Toward Parametrization of Precipitating Shallow Cumulus Cloud Organization via Moisture Variance Y1 - 2021-07-30 VL - 126 IS - 15 JF - Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres DO - 10.1029/2021JD034939 PB - N2 - The influence of the initial vertical moisture profile on precipitating shallow cumulus cloud organization in terms of the column‐averaged moisture variance is investigated using large‐eddy simulations. Five idealized simulations based on the Rain in Cumulus over the Ocean field experiment with different initial moisture profiles are investigated. All cases simulate precipitating shallow cumulus convection in a marine sub‐tropical region under large‐scale subsidence. The results show that the moisture variance is mainly generated through the interaction of the moisture flux and the moisture gradient in the gradient production term at the top of the boundary layer. The development is characterized by three regimes: initial, transition, and quasi‐steady regime. During the initial regime, the moisture gradient is built up by moisture accumulation until precipitating convection starts. Within the transition regime, precipitation enables mesoscale cloud organization with enhanced convective activity and moisture fluxes. The moisture variance increases from the moist to the dry initial moisture profiles. In a following quasi‐steady regime, the moisture variance is approximately preserved. Thereby, the initial moisture gradient between the average sub‐cloud layer and the free atmosphere is found to be an important factor for the generation of the quasi‐steady column‐averaged moisture variance. The result suggests that a resolved‐scale variable like the moisture gradient can be used to estimate the quasi‐steady state conditions resulting from cloud organization. This finding may serve as a starting point for the parametrization of the subgrid scale cloud organization caused by precipitating shallow convection. N2 - Key Points: Mesoscale organization of precipitating shallow cumulus changes the bulk properties of the atmospheric boundary layer (e.g., cloud cover). The increase of moisture variance during cloud organization is sensitive to the initial vertical moisture profiles. The average gradient between the average sub‐cloud layer and the free atmosphere is a good predictor of the moisture variance. UR - http://resolver.sub.uni-goettingen.de/purl?gldocs-11858/9753 ER -