• Hidden Potential in Predicting Wintertime Temperature Anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere 

      Dobrynin, MikhailORCIDiD; Düsterhus, AndréORCIDiD; Fröhlich, KristinaORCIDiD; Athanasiadis, PanosORCIDiD; Ruggieri, Paolo; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2022-10-11)
      Variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) drives wintertime temperature anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere. Dynamical seasonal prediction systems can skilfully predict the winter NAO. However, prediction of the ...
    • Seasonal Prediction of Arabian Sea Marine Heatwaves 

      Koul, VimalORCIDiD; Brune, SebastianORCIDiD; Akimova, Anna; Düsterhus, AndréORCIDiD; Pieper, Patrick; Hövel, LauraORCIDiD; Parekh, AnantORCIDiD; Schrum, CorinnaORCIDiD; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2023-09-19)
      Abstract

      Marine heatwaves are known to have a detrimental impact on marine ecosystems, yet ...

    • Skilful prediction of cod stocks in the North and Barents Sea a decade in advance 

      Koul, VimalORCIDiD; Sguotti, Camilla; Årthun, Marius; Brune, SebastianORCIDiD; Düsterhus, AndréORCIDiD; Bogstad, Bjarte; Ottersen, Geir; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD; Schrum, CorinnaORCIDiD (Communications Earth & Environment, 2021-07-06)
      Reliable information about the future state of the ocean and fish stocks is necessary for informed decision-making by fisheries scientists, managers and the industry. However, decadal regional ocean climate and fish stock ...
    • When Does the Lorenz 1963 Model Exhibit the Signal‐To‐Noise Paradox? 

      Mayer, BjörnORCIDiD; Düsterhus, AndréORCIDiD; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2021-02-19)
      Seasonal prediction systems based on Earth System Models exhibit a lower proportion of predictable signal to unpredictable noise than the actual world. This puzzling phenomena has been widely referred to as the signal‐to‐noise ...