• Coastal Erosion Variability at the Southern Laptev Sea Linked to Winter Sea Ice and the Arctic Oscillation 

      Nielsen, David MarcolinoORCIDiD; Dobrynin, MikhailORCIDiD; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD; Razumov, Sergey; Grigoriev, MikhailORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2020)
      Arctic coastal erosion experiences pronounced effects from ongoing climate change. The Laptev Sea figures among the Arctic regions with the most severe erosion rates. Here, we use unprecedentedly long records of almost ...
    • Decadal Prediction of Marine Heatwaves in MPI‐ESM 

      Hövel, LauraORCIDiD; Brune, SebastianORCIDiD; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2022-08-14)
      Marine Heatwaves (MHW) are SST extremes that can have devastating impacts on marine ecosystems and can influence circulation patterns in the ocean and the atmosphere. Here, we present a first attempt to study the decadal ...
    • Hidden Potential in Predicting Wintertime Temperature Anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere 

      Dobrynin, MikhailORCIDiD; Düsterhus, AndréORCIDiD; Fröhlich, KristinaORCIDiD; Athanasiadis, PanosORCIDiD; Ruggieri, Paolo; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2022-10-11)
      Variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) drives wintertime temperature anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere. Dynamical seasonal prediction systems can skilfully predict the winter NAO. However, prediction of the ...
    • Preserving the coupled atmosphere–ocean feedback in initializations of decadal climate predictions 

      Brune, SebastianORCIDiD; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 2020)
      On interannual to decadal time scales, memory in the Earth's climate system resides to a large extent in the slowly varying heat content of the ocean, which responds to fast atmospheric variability and in turn sets the ...
    • Seasonal Prediction of Arabian Sea Marine Heatwaves 

      Koul, VimalORCIDiD; Brune, SebastianORCIDiD; Akimova, Anna; Düsterhus, AndréORCIDiD; Pieper, Patrick; Hövel, LauraORCIDiD; Parekh, AnantORCIDiD; Schrum, CorinnaORCIDiD; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2023-09-19)
      Abstract

      Marine heatwaves are known to have a detrimental impact on marine ecosystems, yet ...

    • Skilful prediction of cod stocks in the North and Barents Sea a decade in advance 

      Koul, VimalORCIDiD; Sguotti, Camilla; Årthun, Marius; Brune, SebastianORCIDiD; Düsterhus, AndréORCIDiD; Bogstad, Bjarte; Ottersen, Geir; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD; Schrum, CorinnaORCIDiD (Communications Earth & Environment, 2021-07-06)
      Reliable information about the future state of the ocean and fish stocks is necessary for informed decision-making by fisheries scientists, managers and the industry. However, decadal regional ocean climate and fish stock ...
    • When Does the Lorenz 1963 Model Exhibit the Signal‐To‐Noise Paradox? 

      Mayer, BjörnORCIDiD; Düsterhus, AndréORCIDiD; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2021-02-19)
      Seasonal prediction systems based on Earth System Models exhibit a lower proportion of predictable signal to unpredictable noise than the actual world. This puzzling phenomena has been widely referred to as the signal‐to‐noise ...