• Hidden Potential in Predicting Wintertime Temperature Anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere 

      Dobrynin, MikhailORCIDiD; Düsterhus, AndréORCIDiD; Fröhlich, KristinaORCIDiD; Athanasiadis, PanosORCIDiD; Ruggieri, Paolo; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2022-10-11)
      Variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) drives wintertime temperature anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere. Dynamical seasonal prediction systems can skilfully predict the winter NAO. However, prediction of the ...
    • Preserving the coupled atmosphere–ocean feedback in initializations of decadal climate predictions 

      Brune, SebastianORCIDiD; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 2020)
      On interannual to decadal time scales, memory in the Earth's climate system resides to a large extent in the slowly varying heat content of the ocean, which responds to fast atmospheric variability and in turn sets the ...
    • When Does the Lorenz 1963 Model Exhibit the Signal‐To‐Noise Paradox? 

      Mayer, BjörnORCIDiD; Düsterhus, AndréORCIDiD; Baehr, JohannaORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2021-02-19)
      Seasonal prediction systems based on Earth System Models exhibit a lower proportion of predictable signal to unpredictable noise than the actual world. This puzzling phenomena has been widely referred to as the signal‐to‐noise ...