• Eruption Forecasting of Strokkur Geyser, Iceland, Using Permutation Entropy 

      Sudibyo, Maria R. P.ORCIDiD; Eibl, Eva P. S.ORCIDiD; Hainzl, SebastianORCIDiD; Hersir, Gylfi Páll (Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 2022-10-01)
      A volcanic eruption is usually preceded by seismic precursors, but their interpretation and use for forecasting the eruption onset time remain a challenge. A part of the eruptive processes in open conduits of volcanoes may ...
    • Statistical Forecasts for the Occurrence of Precipitation Outperform Global Models over Northern Tropical Africa 

      Vogel, Peter; Knippertz, PeterORCIDiD; Gneiting, TilmannORCIDiD; Fink, Andreas H.ORCIDiD; Klar, Manuel; Schlueter, AndreasORCIDiD (Geophysical Research Letters, 2021-02-02)
      Short‐term global ensemble predictions of rainfall currently have no skill over northern tropical Africa when compared to simple climatology‐based forecasts, even after sophisticated statistical postprocessing. Here, we ...